GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🌍 Eredivisie · — · 18:00
versus

Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle

Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
Pre-match analysis
60%
Both teams to score
SP48
Draw27
ZW25
Head to head
3
SPA
2
Draw
3
ZWO
mars 2026SPA — ZWO1 – 1
nov. 2025ZWO — SPA1 – 0
mars 2025SPA — ZWO1 – 1
nov. 2024ZWO — SPA1 – 0
févr. 2024SPA — ZWO0 – 2
août 2023ZWO — SPA1 – 2
juil. 2023SPA — ZWO3 – 1
mai 2022SPA — ZWO2 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 23h48%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2AFC Ajax7241+19
3Feyenoord7138+12
Eredivisie · 20:00
SPASPA
ZWOZWO
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Pre-match analysis
60%
Both teams to score

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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SP winDrawZW win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 23hprd_20260904_af-1552153_210823hv1.9.354%51%

What would have to change

i21.5 pt span
Red card48 → 26.9-21.1
Opponent scores first48 → 45.2-2.8
Key substitution48 → 47-1
High tempo48 → 48.4+0.4
Low tempo48 → 47.7-0.3
Early goal48 → 480

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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3
SP wins
2
Draws
3
ZW wins
8 Mar 2026SPA — ZWO1 – 1
8 Nov 2025ZWO — SPA1 – 0
15 Mar 2025SPA — ZWO1 – 1
30 Nov 2024ZWO — SPA1 – 0
4 Feb 2024SPA — ZWO0 – 2
12 Aug 2023ZWO — SPA1 – 2
14 Jul 2023SPA — ZWO3 – 1
11 May 2022SPA — ZWO2 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

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Notes

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