GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🌍 Eredivisie · — · 18:00
versus

Cambuur
Twente

Kooi Stadion
Pre-match analysis
74%
Victoire Twente
CA8
Draw18
TW74
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 16,26Raw implied probability16,0%Sum of the 1X2 book105,6%Operator margin removed−5,6 ptsDe-margined consensus15%Our model7.8%Measured gap−7.2 pp
Markets carrying a signal6 / 36
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away win—74.5%64%+10.5
Home or draw—25.5%36%−10.5
Away over 2.5 goals—45.4%35%+10.4
Away under 2.5 goals—54.6%65%−10.4
Home over 0.5 goals—52.3%61%−8.7
Home under 0.5 goals—47.7%39%+8.7
Home draw no bet—9.5%18%−8.5
Away draw no bet—90.5%82%+8.5
Draw or away—92.2%84%+8.2
Home over 1.5 goals—17%25%−8
Home under 1.5 goals—83%75%+8
Home win—7.8%15%−7.2

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

Eredivisie · 20:00
CAMCAM
TWETWE
Kooi Stadion · Pre-match analysis
74%
Victoire TW

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
16.026.26▲+0.24%
X4.394.45▲+0.06%
21.501.49▼-0.01%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away winInteresting81.5Away win74.5%64%
95
▲+10.5pp
Away over 2.5 goals2.5Interesting81.2Away over 2.5 goals45.4%35%
95
▲+10.4pp
Home under 0.5 goals0.5Interesting76.1Home under 0.5 goals47.7%39%
95
▲+8.7pp
Away draw no betInteresting75.5Away draw no bet90.5%82%
95
▲+8.5pp
Draw or awayInteresting74.6Draw or away92.2%84%
95
▲+8.2pp
Home under 1.5 goals1.5Interesting74Home under 1.5 goals83%75%
95
▲+8pp
Home win—Home win7.8%15%
95
▼-7.2pp
Draw—Draw17.7%21%
95
▼-3.3pp
Home or draw—Home or draw25.5%36%
95
▼-10.5pp
Home or away—Home or away82.3%79%
95
▲+3.3pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 16%model 8%▼-8pp
Xmarket 22%model 18%▼-4pp
2market 67%model 74%▲+7pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
36
Eligible
36
With a price
36
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.