GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Eredivisie · — · 10:15
versus

GO Ahead Eagles
ADO Den Haag

De Adelaarshorst · Referee s-van-der-eijk
Pre-match analysis
85%
Victoire GO Ahead Eagles
EA85
Draw12
HA3
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,73Raw implied probability57,8%Sum of the 1X2 book105,8%Operator margin removed−5,8 ptsDe-margined consensus55%Our model85.1%Measured gap+30.1 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 68
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—9.3%52%−42.7
Away under 1.0 goals—90.7%48%+42.7
Away over 0.5 goals—34.3%69%−34.7
Away under 0.5 goals—65.7%31%+34.7
Home clean sheet—65.7%31%+34.7
Draw or away—14.9%46%−31.1
Home win—85.1%55%+30.1
Away over 1.5 goals—6.7%35%−28.3
Away under 1.5 goals—93.3%65%+28.3
Both teams to score—32.9%61%−28.1
Both teams to score: no—67.1%39%+28.1
Home draw no bet—96.8%71%+25.8

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

Eredivisie · 12:15
EAGEAG
HAAHAA
De Adelaarshorst · Pre-match analysis
85%
Victoire EA

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.731.73•0%
X3.954.00▲+0.05%
24.204.35▲+0.15%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Away under 1.0 goals90.7%48%
95
▲+42.7pp
Away under 0.5 goals0.5High Signal95Away under 0.5 goals65.7%31%
95
▲+34.7pp
Home clean sheetHigh Signal95Home clean sheet65.7%31%
95
▲+34.7pp
Home winHigh Signal95Home win85.1%55%
95
▲+30.1pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal95Away under 1.5 goals93.3%65%
95
▲+28.3pp
Both teams to score: noHigh Signal95Both teams to score: no67.1%39%
95
▲+28.1pp
Home draw no betHigh Signal95Home draw no bet96.8%71%
95
▲+25.8pp
Home over 2.0 goals2High Signal95Home over 2.0 goals68.9%46%
95
▲+22.9pp
Draw—Draw12.1%24%
95
▼-11.9pp
Away win—Away win2.8%22%
95
▼-19.2pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 58%model 85%▲+27pp
Xmarket 25%model 12%▼-13pp
2market 23%model 3%▼-20pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
68
Eligible
68
With a price
68
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.