GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Eredivisie · · 19:00
versus

Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle

Abe Lenstra Stadion · Referee r-martens
02
Full time
68%
Over 2.5 goals
HE62
Draw22
ZW16
Why
PEC Zwolle's defence sits at the 17th percentile — among the weakest
Heerenveen takes 2.04 points per game at home, the opponent 0.71 away
PEC Zwolle has 6 declared absences
Heerenveen takes 2.04 points per game at home against 0.88 away — two different sides depending on the ground
PEC Zwolle has lost 5 of its last 6
Heerenveen scores 1.9 goals per game at home
PEC Zwolle concedes 2.8 goals per game away
What could fool us
PEC Zwolle takes 1.57 points per game at home against 0.71 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Heerenveen at 62%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

HEEHEE
ZWOZWO
Abe Lenstra Stadion
02
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted68%Over 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
62%
Win HEE
22%
Draw
16%
Win ZWO
what happened
62%at opening62%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Why

  • PEC Zwolle's defence sits at the 17th percentile — among the weakest
  • Heerenveen takes 2.04 points per game at home, the opponent 0.71 away
  • PEC Zwolle has 6 declared absences
  • Heerenveen takes 2.04 points per game at home against 0.88 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • PEC Zwolle has lost 5 of its last 6
  • Heerenveen scores 1.9 goals per game at home
  • PEC Zwolle concedes 2.8 goals per game away

What could mislead us

  • PEC Zwolle takes 1.57 points per game at home against 0.71 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

No market carries a signal on this fixture.

That is a valid and frequent result. The full analysis stays available below.

Context snapshot

Referee
r-martens
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 19
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Heerenveen at 62%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions