GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Eredivisie · — · 19:00
versus

Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle

Abe Lenstra Stadion · Referee r-martens
0 – 2
Full time
68%
Over 2.5 goals
HE62
Draw22
ZW16
Head to head
4
HEE
3
Draw
1
ZWO
févr. 2026HEE — ZWO4 – 2
nov. 2025ZWO — HEE2 – 1
oct. 2025HEE — ZWO4 – 1
févr. 2025ZWO — HEE1 – 1
oct. 2024HEE — ZWO1 – 1
juil. 2024HEE — ZWO5 – 2
mars 2024HEE — ZWO2 – 0
janv. 2024ZWO — HEE2 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h62%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2AFC Ajax7241+19
3Feyenoord7138+12
Eredivisie · 21:00
HEEHEE
ZWOZWO
Abe Lenstra Stadion
0 – 2
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted✕68%Over 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
62%
Win HEE
22%
Draw
16%
Win ZWO
what happened
62%at opening→62%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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HE winDrawZW win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1552138_210805hv1.9.354%74%

What would have to change

i21.3 pt span
Red card62 → 40.9-21.1
Opponent scores first62 → 59.2-2.8
Key substitution62 → 61-1
High tempo62 → 62.2+0.2
Low tempo62 → 61.8-0.2
Early goal62 → 620

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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4
HE wins
3
Draws
1
ZW wins
15 Feb 2026HEE — ZWO4 – 2
28 Nov 2025ZWO — HEE2 – 1
9 Oct 2025HEE — ZWO4 – 1
16 Feb 2025ZWO — HEE1 – 1
6 Oct 2024HEE — ZWO1 – 1
19 Jul 2024HEE — ZWO5 – 2
3 Mar 2024HEE — ZWO2 – 0
13 Jan 2024ZWO — HEE2 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

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Notes

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