GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Eredivisie · — · 16:45
versus

Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht

Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Referee d-higler
3 – 3
Full time
55%
Both teams to score
SP25
Draw29
UT46
Head to head
3
SPA
1
Draw
4
UTR
janv. 2026UTR — SPA0 – 1
août 2025SPA — UTR2 – 1
mai 2025UTR — SPA1 – 1
nov. 2024SPA — UTR1 – 4
mai 2024UTR — SPA3 – 1
mai 2024UTR — SPA0 – 1
nov. 2023SPA — UTR1 – 2
juin 2023SPA — UTR0 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h25%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2AFC Ajax7241+19
3Feyenoord7138+12
Eredivisie · 18:45
SPASPA
UTRUTR
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
3 – 3
Full time

Final result

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Confirmed✓55%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
25%
Win SPA
29%
Draw
what happened
46%
Win UTR
25%at opening→25%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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SP winDrawUT win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1552137_210805hv1.9.354%49%

What would have to change

i21.5 pt span
Red card46 → 24.9-21.1
Opponent scores first46 → 43.2-2.8
Key substitution46 → 45-1
High tempo46 → 46.4+0.4
Low tempo46 → 45.7-0.3
Early goal46 → 460

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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3
SP wins
1
Draws
4
UT wins
25 Jan 2026UTR — SPA0 – 1
17 Aug 2025SPA — UTR2 – 1
14 May 2025UTR — SPA1 – 1
3 Nov 2024SPA — UTR1 – 4
23 May 2024UTR — SPA3 – 1
12 May 2024UTR — SPA0 – 1
26 Nov 2023SPA — UTR1 – 2
4 Jun 2023SPA — UTR0 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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