GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Eredivisie · · 16:45
versus

Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht

Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel · Referee d-higler
33
Full time
55%
Both teams to score
SP25
Draw29
UT46
Why
Utrecht has 14 declared absences
What could fool us
Utrecht's attack sits at the 74th percentile of the league
Utrecht takes 1.96 points per game at home against 1.22 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Sparta Rotterdam has lost 4 of its last 6
Utrecht has won 4 of its last 6
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Utrecht at 46%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

SPASPA
UTRUTR
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
33
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed55%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
25%
Win SPA
29%
Draw
what happened
46%
Win UTR
25%at opening25%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Why

  • Utrecht has 14 declared absences

What could mislead us

  • Utrecht's attack sits at the 74th percentile of the league
  • Utrecht takes 1.96 points per game at home against 1.22 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Sparta Rotterdam has lost 4 of its last 6
  • Utrecht has won 4 of its last 6
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home under 1.0 goals1Strength 95/100
Home under 1.0 goals
Model
52.2%
Market
36%
Divergence
+16.2

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 52.2%, the market at 36%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
d-higler
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

iRound 19
#TeamPGDFormPts

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Utrecht at 46%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions