GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🌍 Eredivisie · — · 18:00
versus

NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior

Goffertstadion
Pre-match analysis
69%
Over 2.5 goals
NI64
Draw21
EX15
Head to head
5
NIJ
1
Draw
2
EXC
avr. 2026EXC — NIJ0 – 2
août 2025NIJ — EXC5 – 0
mai 2024EXC — NIJ0 – 3
août 2023NIJ — EXC3 – 4
févr. 2023EXC — NIJ0 – 3
oct. 2022NIJ — EXC1 – 1
avr. 2021EXC — NIJ2 – 1
janv. 2021NIJ — EXC3 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h64%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2AFC Ajax7241+19
3Feyenoord7138+12
Eredivisie · 20:00
NIJNIJ
EXCEXC
Goffertstadion · Pre-match analysis
69%
Over 2.5 goals

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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NI winDrawEX win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1552136_210805hv1.9.354%77%

What would have to change

i21.7 pt span
Red card64 → 42.9-21.1
Opponent scores first64 → 61.2-2.8
Key substitution64 → 63-1
High tempo64 → 63.3-0.7
Low tempo64 → 64.6+0.6
Early goal64 → 640

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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5
NI wins
1
Draws
2
EX wins
4 Apr 2026EXC — NIJ0 – 2
9 Aug 2025NIJ — EXC5 – 0
6 May 2024EXC — NIJ0 – 3
13 Aug 2023NIJ — EXC3 – 4
19 Feb 2023EXC — NIJ0 – 3
8 Oct 2022NIJ — EXC1 – 1
9 Apr 2021EXC — NIJ2 – 1
8 Jan 2021NIJ — EXC3 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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