GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Eredivisie · — · 14:30
versus

Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar

Fortuna Sittard Stadion · Referee s-gozubuyuk
0 – 2
Full time
62%
Both teams to score
SI29
Draw27
AL44
Head to head
2
SIT
0
Draw
6
ALK
avr. 2026ALK — SIT2 – 0
déc. 2025SIT — ALK4 – 3
févr. 2025ALK — SIT1 – 0
oct. 2024SIT — ALK1 – 0
févr. 2024SIT — ALK1 – 2
oct. 2023ALK — SIT4 – 0
avr. 2023SIT — ALK0 – 3
janv. 2023ALK — SIT3 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h29%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2AFC Ajax7241+19
3Feyenoord7138+12
Eredivisie · 16:30
SITSIT
ALKALK
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
0 – 2
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted✕62%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
29%
Win SIT
27%
Draw
44%
Win ALK
what happened
29%at opening→29%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

i

What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
SI winDrawAL win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1552135_210805hv1.9.354%45%

What would have to change

i22 pt span
Red card44 → 22.9-21.1
Opponent scores first44 → 41.2-2.8
Key substitution44 → 43-1
High tempo44 → 44.9+0.9
Low tempo44 → 43.3-0.7
Early goal44 → 440

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
2
SI wins
0
Draws
6
AL wins
4 Apr 2026ALK — SIT2 – 0
21 Dec 2025SIT — ALK4 – 3
23 Feb 2025ALK — SIT1 – 0
6 Oct 2024SIT — ALK1 – 0
17 Feb 2024SIT — ALK1 – 2
1 Oct 2023ALK — SIT4 – 0
16 Apr 2023SIT — ALK0 – 3
22 Jan 2023ALK — SIT3 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

i