GRABBLESTATS
No signal🌍 Eredivisie · — · 16:45
versus

Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar

Stadion Galgenwaard
1 – 4
Full time
59%
Both teams to score
UT48
Draw28
AL24
Head to head

The head-to-head record is not assembled for this fixture. Past meetings are ingested competition by competition and this one is not covered yet — an empty record would read as two clubs that never met, which is a different statement.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h48%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
2AFC Ajax7241+19
3Feyenoord7138+12
Eredivisie · 18:45
UTRUTR
ALKALK
Stadion Galgenwaard
1 – 4
Full time

Final result

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Confirmed✓59%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
48%
Win UTR
28%
Draw
24%
Win ALK
what happened
48%at opening→48%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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UT winDrawAL win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260815_af-1552128_210805hv1.9.354%52%

What would have to change

i21.3 pt span
Red card48 → 26.9-21.1
Opponent scores first48 → 45.2-2.8
Key substitution48 → 47-1
High tempo48 → 47.7-0.3
Low tempo48 → 48.2+0.2
Early goal48 → 480

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

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Notes

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