GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇲🇽 Liga MX · — · 01:00
versus

Club America
Puebla

Estadio Banorte
Pre-match analysis
77%
Victoire Club America
CL77
Draw16
PU7
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,38Raw implied probability72,5%Sum of the 1X2 book107,9%Operator margin removed−7,9 ptsDe-margined consensus67%Our model76.5%Measured gap+9.5 pp
Markets carrying a signal7 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—18.2%32%−13.8
Away under 1.0 goals—81.8%68%+13.8
Home clean sheet—54.9%43%+11.9
Away over 0.5 goals—45.1%56%−10.9
Away under 0.5 goals—54.9%44%+10.9
Away over 1.5 goals—12.2%22%−9.8
Away under 1.5 goals—87.8%78%+9.8
Both teams to score—41.4%51%−9.6
Both teams to score: no—58.6%49%+9.6
Home win—76.5%67%+9.5
Draw or away—23.5%33%−9.5
Home draw no bet—91.5%82%+9.5

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

liga-mx · 03:00
CLUCLU
PUEPUE
Estadio Banorte · Pre-match analysis
77%
Victoire CL

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.381.38•0%
X4.604.60•0%
27.307.30•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal91.4Away under 1.0 goals81.8%68%
95
▲+13.8pp
Home clean sheetInteresting85.7Home clean sheet54.9%43%
95
▲+11.9pp
Away under 0.5 goals0.5Interesting82.7Away under 0.5 goals54.9%44%
95
▲+10.9pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5Interesting79.4Away under 1.5 goals87.8%78%
95
▲+9.8pp
Both teams to score: noInteresting78.8Both teams to score: no58.6%49%
95
▲+9.6pp
Home winInteresting78.5Home win76.5%67%
95
▲+9.5pp
Home draw no betInteresting78.5Home draw no bet91.5%82%
95
▲+9.5pp
Draw—Draw16.4%20%
95
▼-3.6pp
Away win—Away win7.1%13%
95
▼-5.9pp
Home or draw—Home or draw92.9%86%
95
▲+6.9pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 72%model 77%▲+5pp
Xmarket 22%model 16%▼-6pp
2market 14%model 7%▼-7pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
66
Eligible
66
With a price
66
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.