GRABBLESTATS
Watch🇲🇽 Liga MX · — · 23:00
versus

Atletico San Luis
CF Pachuca

Estadio Libertad Financiera · Referee a-escobedo-gonzalez
Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score
AT34
Draw28
CF38
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 13,20Raw implied probability31,3%Sum of the 1X2 book106,7%Operator margin removed−6,7 ptsDe-margined consensus29%Our model34.4%Measured gap+5.4 pp
Markets carrying a signal2 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 2.0 goals—19.6%29%−9.4
Away under 2.0 goals—80.4%71%+9.4
Away over 1.0 goals—59.3%68%−8.7
Away under 1.0 goals—40.7%32%+8.7
Away over 1.5 goals—38.4%46%−7.6
Away under 1.5 goals—61.6%54%+7.6
Away over 2.5 goals—15%22%−7
Away under 2.5 goals—85%78%+7
Home draw no bet—47.8%41%+6.8
Away draw no bet—52.2%59%−6.8
Over 3.0 goals—33.5%40%−6.5
Away win—37.6%44%−6.4

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

liga-mx · 01:00
ATLATL
CF CF
Estadio Libertad Financiera · Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
13.083.20▲+0.12%
X3.423.45▲+0.03%
22.202.15▼-0.05%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 2.0 goals2Interesting78.2Away under 2.0 goals80.4%71%
50
▲+9.4pp
Away under 1.0 goals1Interesting76.1Away under 1.0 goals40.7%32%
50
▲+8.7pp
Home win—Home win34.4%29%
50
▲+5.4pp
Draw—Draw28%27%
50
▲+1pp
Away win—Away win37.6%44%
50
▼-6.4pp
Home or draw—Home or draw62.4%57%
50
▲+5.4pp
Home or away—Home or away72%73%
50
▼-1pp
Draw or away—Draw or away65.6%70%
50
▼-4.4pp
Home draw no bet—Home draw no bet47.8%41%
50
▲+6.8pp
Away draw no bet—Away draw no bet52.2%59%
50
▼-6.8pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 31%model 34%▲+3pp
Xmarket 29%model 28%▼-1pp
2market 47%model 38%▼-9pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
66
Eligible
66
With a price
66
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.