GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇲🇽 Liga MX · — · 03:00
versus

Cruz Azul
Atlas

Estadio Banorte · Referee g-pacheco-larios
Pre-match analysis
69%
Victoire Cruz Azul
CR69
Draw20
AT11
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,56Raw implied probability64,1%Sum of the 1X2 book106,9%Operator margin removed−6,9 ptsDe-margined consensus60%Our model69.4%Measured gap+9.4 pp
Markets carrying a signal7 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—22.7%38%−15.3
Away under 1.0 goals—77.3%62%+15.3
Home draw no bet—87%77%+10
Away draw no bet—13%23%−10
Away over 0.5 goals—49.3%59%−9.7
Away under 0.5 goals—50.7%41%+9.7
Home clean sheet—50.7%41%+9.7
Home win—69.4%60%+9.4
Draw or away—30.6%40%−9.4
Away over 1.5 goals—14.9%24%−9.1
Away under 1.5 goals—85.1%76%+9.1
Both teams to score—43.7%52%−8.3

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

liga-mx · 05:00
CRUCRU
ATLATL
Estadio Banorte · Pre-match analysis
69%
Victoire CR

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.561.56•0%
X4.044.05▲+0.01%
25.515.51•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Away under 1.0 goals77.3%62%
95
▲+15.3pp
Home draw no betInteresting80Home draw no bet87%77%
95
▲+10pp
Away under 0.5 goals0.5Interesting79.1Away under 0.5 goals50.7%41%
95
▲+9.7pp
Home clean sheetInteresting79.1Home clean sheet50.7%41%
95
▲+9.7pp
Home winInteresting78.2Home win69.4%60%
95
▲+9.4pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5Interesting77.3Away under 1.5 goals85.1%76%
95
▲+9.1pp
Both teams to score: noInteresting74.9Both teams to score: no56.3%48%
95
▲+8.3pp
Draw—Draw20.2%23%
95
▼-2.8pp
Away win—Away win10.4%17%
95
▼-6.6pp
Home or draw—Home or draw89.6%83%
95
▲+6.6pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 64%model 69%▲+5pp
Xmarket 25%model 20%▼-5pp
2market 18%model 11%▼-7pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
66
Eligible
66
With a price
66
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.