No signal🇲🇽 Liga MX · — · 23:07
versus
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
Estadio Akron · Referee m-chavez
Pre-match analysis
57%
Victoire Guadalajara Chivas
GU57
Draw24
CL19
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,47Raw implied probability68,0%Sum of the 1X2 book107,3%Operator margin removed−7,3 ptsDe-margined consensus63%Our model56.9%Measured gap−6.1 pp
Markets carrying a signal1 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 2.0 goals—37.4%46%−8.6
Home under 2.0 goals—62.4%54%+8.4
Home over 2.5 goals—27.4%35%−7.6
Home under 2.5 goals—72.6%65%+7.6
Home over 3.5 goals—11.2%18%−6.8
Home under 3.5 goals—88.8%82%+6.8
Home over 1.5 goals—54.3%61%−6.7
Home under 1.5 goals—45.7%39%+6.7
Home under 3.0 goals—86.7%80%+6.7
Home over 3.0 goals—13.4%20%−6.6
Home win—56.9%63%−6.1
Draw or away—43.1%37%+6.1
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.