GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇮🇹 Serie A · — · 18:45
versus

Parma
Cagliari

Stadio Ennio Tardini · Referee d-perenzoni
0 – 1
Full time
68%
Under 2.5 goals
PA34
Draw31
CA35
Head to head
1
PAR
3
Draw
4
CAG
févr. 2026PAR — CAG1 – 1
sept. 2025CAG — PAR2 – 0
févr. 2025CAG — PAR2 – 1
sept. 2024PAR — CAG2 – 3
juin 2023PAR — CAG0 – 0
mai 2023CAG — PAR3 – 2
avr. 2023PAR — CAG2 – 1
déc. 2022CAG — PAR1 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h34%—
Our past analyses in this competition
corners-total · announced at 55%0,20Confirmed
corners-total · announced at 66%0,12Confirmed
corners-total · announced at 49%0,26Confirmed
corners-total · announced at 57%0,32Refuted
corners-total · announced at 76%0,06Confirmed
corners-total · announced at 58%0,34Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
6AC Milan7434+7
8AS Roma7130+3
Serie A · 20:45
PARPAR
CAGCAG
Stadio Ennio Tardini
0 – 1
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓68%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
34%
Win PAR
31%
Draw
35%
Win CAG
what happened
34%at opening→34%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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PA winDrawCA win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1550093_210805hv1.9.354%32%

What would have to change

i22.2 pt span
Red card35 → 13.9-21.1
Opponent scores first35 → 32.2-2.8
High tempo35 → 36.1+1.1
Key substitution35 → 34-1
Low tempo35 → 34.1-0.9
Early goal35 → 350

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
1
PA wins
3
Draws
4
CA wins
27 Feb 2026PAR — CAG1 – 1
13 Sept 2025CAG — PAR2 – 0
9 Feb 2025CAG — PAR2 – 1
30 Sept 2024PAR — CAG2 – 3
3 Jun 2023PAR — CAG0 – 0
30 May 2023CAG — PAR3 – 2
22 Apr 2023PAR — CAG2 – 1
3 Dec 2022CAG — PAR1 – 1

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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