GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇮🇹 Serie A · — · 18:45
versus

Genoa
Napoli

Stadio Luigi Ferraris · Referee m-di-bello
0 – 1
Full time
59%
Under 2.5 goals
GE22
Draw26
NA52
Head to head
0
GEN
3
Draw
5
NAP
févr. 2026GEN — NAP2 – 3
oct. 2025NAP — GEN2 – 1
mai 2025NAP — GEN2 – 2
déc. 2024GEN — NAP1 – 2
févr. 2024NAP — GEN1 – 1
sept. 2023GEN — NAP2 – 2
mai 2022NAP — GEN3 – 0
août 2021GEN — NAP1 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h22%—
Our past analyses in this competition
corners-total · announced at 55%0,20Confirmed
corners-total · announced at 66%0,12Confirmed
corners-total · announced at 49%0,26Confirmed
corners-total · announced at 57%0,32Refuted
corners-total · announced at 76%0,06Confirmed
corners-total · announced at 58%0,34Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
6AC Milan7434+7
8AS Roma7130+3
Serie A · 20:45
GENGEN
NAPNAP
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
0 – 1
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓59%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
22%
Win GEN
26%
Draw
52%
Win NAP
what happened
22%at opening→22%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Time Machine

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What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

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GE winDrawNA win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260822_af-1550091_210805hv1.9.354%58%

What would have to change

i22.5 pt span
Red card52 → 30.9-21.1
Opponent scores first52 → 49.2-2.8
High tempo52 → 53.4+1.4
Low tempo52 → 50.9-1.1
Key substitution52 → 51-1
Early goal52 → 520

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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0
GE wins
3
Draws
5
NA wins
7 Feb 2026GEN — NAP2 – 3
5 Oct 2025NAP — GEN2 – 1
11 May 2025NAP — GEN2 – 2
21 Dec 2024GEN — NAP1 – 2
17 Feb 2024NAP — GEN1 – 1
16 Sept 2023GEN — NAP2 – 2
15 May 2022NAP — GEN3 – 0
29 Aug 2021GEN — NAP1 – 2

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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