GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇮🇹 Serie A · — · 18:45
versus

AS Roma
Fiorentina

Stadio Olimpico · Referee m-marcenaro
Pre-match analysis
58%
Victoire AS Roma
RO58
Draw24
FI18
Head to head
4
ROM
2
Draw
2
FIO
mai 2026ROM — FIO4 – 0
oct. 2025FIO — ROM1 – 2
mai 2025ROM — FIO1 – 0
oct. 2024FIO — ROM5 – 1
mars 2024FIO — ROM2 – 2
déc. 2023ROM — FIO1 – 1
mai 2023FIO — ROM2 – 1
janv. 2023ROM — FIO2 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
21/08 05h58%—
Our past analyses in this competition
corners-total · announced at 55%0,20Confirmed
corners-total · announced at 66%0,12Confirmed
corners-total · announced at 49%0,26Confirmed
corners-total · announced at 57%0,32Refuted
corners-total · announced at 76%0,06Confirmed
corners-total · announced at 58%0,34Refuted

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings
6AC Milan7434+7
8AS Roma7130+3
Serie A · 20:45
ROMROM
FIOFIO
Stadio Olimpico · Pre-match analysis
58%
Victoire RO

Time Machine

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What changed?

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View full timeline

Evolution over time

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RO winDrawFI win

Snapshot ledger

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SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
21/08 05hprd_20260824_af-1550087_210805hv1.9.354%68%

What would have to change

i22.5 pt span
Red card58 → 36.9-21.1
Opponent scores first58 → 55.2-2.8
High tempo58 → 56.2-1.8
Low tempo58 → 59.4+1.4
Key substitution58 → 57-1
Early goal58 → 580

A single plausible change reverses the lean. The headline probability is more fragile than its number suggests.

Scenario library

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Head to head

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4
RO wins
2
Draws
2
FI wins
4 May 2026ROM — FIO4 – 0
5 Oct 2025FIO — ROM1 – 2
4 May 2025ROM — FIO1 – 0
27 Oct 2024FIO — ROM5 – 1
10 Mar 2024FIO — ROM2 – 2
10 Dec 2023ROM — FIO1 – 1
27 May 2023FIO — ROM2 – 1
15 Jan 2023ROM — FIO2 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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