GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇨🇴 Primera A · — · 01:15
versus

Internacional de Bogota
Deportivo Pasto

Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Pre-match analysis
60%
Under 2.5 goals
IN28
Draw29
DE43
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,95Raw implied probability51,3%Sum of the 1X2 book107,9%Operator margin removed−7,9 ptsDe-margined consensus48%Our model27.9%Measured gap−20.1 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 40
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home draw no bet—39.4%66%−26.6
Away draw no bet—60.6%34%+26.6
Home win—27.9%48%−20.1
Draw or away—72.1%53%+19.1
Away win—42.9%24%+18.9
Home or draw—57.1%75%−17.9
Home over 1.5 goals—25.8%41%−15.2
Home under 1.5 goals—74.2%59%+15.2
Home over 0.5 goals—62.6%74%−11.4
Home under 0.5 goals—37.4%26%+11.4
Home over 2.5 goals—7.7%19%−11.3
Home under 2.5 goals—92.3%81%+11.3

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

colombia-a · 03:15
INTINT
DEPDEP
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo · Pre-match analysis
60%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.941.95▲+0.01%
X3.303.30•0%
23.853.80▼-0.05%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away draw no betHigh Signal95Away draw no bet60.6%34%
55
▲+26.6pp
Draw or awayHigh Signal95Draw or away72.1%53%
55
▲+19.1pp
Away winHigh Signal95Away win42.9%24%
55
▲+18.9pp
Home under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal95Home under 1.5 goals74.2%59%
55
▲+15.2pp
Home under 0.5 goals0.5Interesting84.2Home under 0.5 goals37.4%26%
55
▲+11.4pp
Home under 2.5 goals2.5Interesting83.9Home under 2.5 goals92.3%81%
55
▲+11.3pp
Away over 1.5 goals1.5Interesting82.4Away over 1.5 goals36.8%26%
55
▲+10.8pp
Away over 0.5 goals0.5Interesting78.2Away over 0.5 goals72.4%63%
55
▲+9.4pp
Home win—Home win27.9%48%
55
▼-20.1pp
Draw—Draw29.2%28%
55
▲+1.2pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 51%model 28%▼-23pp
Xmarket 30%model 29%▼-1pp
2market 26%model 43%▲+17pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
40
Eligible
40
With a price
40
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.