GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇨🇴 Primera A · — · 01:30
versus

Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Cali

Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Pre-match analysis
71%
Victoire Atletico Nacional
AT71
Draw19
DE10
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,65Raw implied probability60,6%Sum of the 1X2 book106,5%Operator margin removed−6,5 ptsDe-margined consensus57%Our model71%Measured gap+14 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 34
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Draw or away—29%44%−15
Home win—71%57%+14
Away draw no bet—12.4%26%−13.6
Home draw no bet—87.4%74%+13.4
Home over 1.5 goals—63.6%51%+12.6
Home under 1.5 goals—36.4%49%−12.6
Home over 2.5 goals—36.7%26%+10.7
Home under 2.5 goals—63.3%74%−10.7
Over 2.0 goals—71.3%61%+10.3
Under 2.0 goals—28.7%39%−10.3
Home over 0.5 goals—88.5%79%+9.5
Home under 0.5 goals—11.5%21%−9.5

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

colombia-a · 03:30
ATLATL
DEPDEP
Estadio Atanasio Girardot · Pre-match analysis
71%
Victoire AT

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.651.65•0%
X3.703.70•0%
25.305.30•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home winHigh Signal92Home win71%57%
95
▲+14pp
Home draw no betHigh Signal90.2Home draw no bet87.4%74%
95
▲+13.4pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5High Signal87.8Home over 1.5 goals63.6%51%
95
▲+12.6pp
Home over 2.5 goals2.5Interesting82.1Home over 2.5 goals36.7%26%
95
▲+10.7pp
Over 2.0 goals2Interesting80.9Over 2.0 goals71.3%61%
95
▲+10.3pp
Home over 0.5 goals0.5Interesting78.5Home over 0.5 goals88.5%79%
95
▲+9.5pp
Home or drawInteresting76.7Home or draw89.9%81%
95
▲+8.9pp
Over 2.5 goals2.5Interesting74.9Over 2.5 goals54.3%46%
95
▲+8.3pp
Draw—Draw18.8%25%
95
▼-6.2pp
Away win—Away win10.1%18%
95
▼-7.9pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 61%model 71%▲+10pp
Xmarket 27%model 19%▼-8pp
2market 19%model 10%▼-9pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
34
Eligible
34
With a price
34
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.