GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇨🇴 Primera A · — · 19:00
versus

Fortaleza FC
Atletico Nacional

Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Pre-match analysis
56%
Under 2.5 goals
FO26
Draw28
AT46
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 14,20Raw implied probability23,8%Sum of the 1X2 book107,3%Operator margin removed−7,3 ptsDe-margined consensus22%Our model26.2%Measured gap+4.2 pp
Markets carrying a signal1 / 60
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away under 2.0 goals—77.4%69%+8.4
Away over 2.0 goals—22.8%31%−8.2
Home draw no bet—36.2%30%+6.2
Away draw no bet—63.8%70%−6.2
Away over 1.0 goals—63.2%69%−5.8
Away under 1.0 goals—36.7%31%+5.7
Away over 1.5 goals—41.5%47%−5.5
Away under 1.5 goals—58.5%53%+5.5
Draw or away—73.8%79%−5.2
Home or draw—53.9%49%+4.9
Away over 2.5 goals—17.2%22%−4.8
Away under 2.5 goals—82.8%78%+4.8

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

colombia-a · 21:00
FORFOR
ATLATL
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo · Pre-match analysis
56%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
14.204.20•0%
X3.403.40•0%
21.851.85•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 2.0 goals2Interesting75.2Away under 2.0 goals77.4%69%
60
▲+8.4pp
Home win—Home win26.2%22%
60
▲+4.2pp
Draw—Draw27.7%27%
60
▲+0.7pp
Away win—Away win46.1%50%
60
▼-3.9pp
Home or draw—Home or draw53.9%49%
60
▲+4.9pp
Home or away—Home or away72.3%73%
60
▼-0.7pp
Draw or away—Draw or away73.8%79%
60
▼-5.2pp
Home draw no bet—Home draw no bet36.2%30%
60
▲+6.2pp
Away draw no bet—Away draw no bet63.8%70%
60
▼-6.2pp
Both teams to score—Both teams to score48.6%50%
60
▼-1.4pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 24%model 26%▲+2pp
Xmarket 29%model 28%▼-1pp
2market 54%model 46%▼-8pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
60
Eligible
60
With a price
60
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.