GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇨🇴 Primera A · — · 21:05
versus

Deportivo Pasto
Llaneros

Estadio Departamental Libertad
Pre-match analysis
58%
Under 2.5 goals
DE56
Draw26
LL18
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,95Raw implied probability51,3%Sum of the 1X2 book107,7%Operator margin removed−7,7 ptsDe-margined consensus48%Our model56%Measured gap+8 pp
Markets carrying a signal2 / 56
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home draw no bet—75.7%67%+8.7
Away draw no bet—24.3%33%−8.7
Home win—56%48%+8
Draw or away—44%52%−8
Away over 1.0 goals—29%37%−8
Away under 1.0 goals—70.9%63%+7.9
Home under 1.0 goals—30.2%37%−6.8
Home over 1.0 goals—69.8%64%+5.8
Away over 1.5 goals—18.6%24%−5.4
Away under 1.5 goals—81.4%76%+5.4
Home over 1.5 goals—47.2%42%+5.2
Home under 1.5 goals—52.8%58%−5.2

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

colombia-a · 23:05
DEPDEP
LLALLA
Estadio Departamental Libertad · Pre-match analysis
58%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.951.95•0%
X3.123.12•0%
24.004.10▲+0.1%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home draw no betInteresting76.1Home draw no bet75.7%67%
78
▲+8.7pp
Home winInteresting74Home win56%48%
78
▲+8pp
Draw—Draw26%30%
78
▼-4pp
Away win—Away win18%23%
78
▼-5pp
Home or draw—Home or draw82%77%
78
▲+5pp
Home or away—Home or away74%71%
78
▲+3pp
Draw or away—Draw or away44%52%
78
▼-8pp
Away draw no bet—Away draw no bet24.3%33%
78
▼-8.7pp
Both teams to score—Both teams to score43.8%47%
78
▼-3.2pp
Both teams to score: no—Both teams to score: no56.2%53%
78
▲+3.2pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 51%model 56%▲+5pp
Xmarket 32%model 26%▼-6pp
2market 24%model 18%▼-6pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
56
Eligible
56
With a price
56
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.