GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇨🇴 Primera A · · 21:05
versus

Deportivo Pasto
Llaneros

Estadio Departamental Libertad
Pre-match analysis
58%
Under 2.5 goals
DE56
Draw26
LL18
Why
Deportivo Pasto takes 1.73 points per game at home, the opponent 1.07 away
Deportivo Pasto takes 1.73 points per game at home against 0.69 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Deportivo Pasto has won 3 of the last 4 meetings
What could fool us
Deportivo Pasto's defence sits at the 30th percentile — among the weakest
Deportivo Pasto has lost 6 of its last 6
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Deportivo Pasto at 56%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

DEPDEP
LLALLA
Estadio Departamental Libertad · Pre-match analysis
58%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
DEP
26%
Draw
18%
LLA
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Deportivo Pasto takes 1.73 points per game at home, the opponent 1.07 away
  • Deportivo Pasto takes 1.73 points per game at home against 0.69 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Deportivo Pasto has won 3 of the last 4 meetings

What could mislead us

  • Deportivo Pasto's defence sits at the 30th percentile — among the weakest
  • Deportivo Pasto has lost 6 of its last 6
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

Interesting
Home draw no betStrength 76.1/100
Home draw no bet
Model
75.7%
Market
67%
Divergence
+8.7

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 75.7%, the market at 67%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

2 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Deportivo Pasto at 56%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions