High Signal🇨🇴 Primera A · — · 21:05
versus
Deportes Tolima
Bucaramanga
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Pre-match analysis
69%
Under 2.5 goals
DE46
Draw31
BU23
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,30Raw implied probability43,5%Sum of the 1X2 book107,4%Operator margin removed−7,4 ptsDe-margined consensus41%Our model46%Measured gap+5 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 58
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—27.3%43%−15.7
Away under 1.0 goals—72.7%57%+15.7
Under 2.0 goals—57%45%+12
Over 2.0 goals—43.1%55%−11.9
Home clean sheet—46.9%35%+11.9
Over 3.0 goals—16.4%28%−11.6
Under 3.0 goals—83.5%72%+11.5
Away over 1.5 goals—17.6%29%−11.4
Away under 1.5 goals—82.4%71%+11.4
Away over 0.5 goals—53.1%64%−10.9
Away under 0.5 goals—46.9%36%+10.9
Both teams to score—37.6%48%−10.4
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
