GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇨🇴 Primera A · — · 23:10
versus

Deportivo Cali
Internacional de Bogota

Estadio Deportivo Cali
Pre-match analysis
63%
Under 2.5 goals
DE55
Draw27
IN18
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,55Raw implied probability64,5%Sum of the 1X2 book107,0%Operator margin removed−7,0 ptsDe-margined consensus60%Our model54.6%Measured gap−5.4 pp
Markets carrying a signal6 / 58
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 2.0 goals—24.3%37%−12.7
Home under 2.0 goals—75.7%63%+12.7
Over 3.0 goals—22.1%32%−9.9
Under 3.0 goals—77.9%68%+9.9
Home over 1.0 goals—65.1%75%−9.9
Home under 1.0 goals—34.7%25%+9.7
Home over 1.5 goals—43.1%52%−8.9
Home under 1.5 goals—56.9%48%+8.9
Home over 3.0 goals—7.1%16%−8.9
Home under 3.0 goals—92.9%84%+8.9
Home over 2.5 goals—18.3%27%−8.7
Home under 2.5 goals—81.7%73%+8.7

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

colombia-a · 01:10
DEPDEP
INTINT
Estadio Deportivo Cali · Pre-match analysis
63%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.551.55•0%
X3.783.80▲+0.02%
26.086.18▲+0.1%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home under 2.0 goals2High Signal88.1Home under 2.0 goals75.7%63%
77
▲+12.7pp
Under 3.0 goals3Interesting79.7Under 3.0 goals77.9%68%
77
▲+9.9pp
Home under 1.0 goals1Interesting79.1Home under 1.0 goals34.7%25%
77
▲+9.7pp
Home under 1.5 goals1.5Interesting76.7Home under 1.5 goals56.9%48%
77
▲+8.9pp
Home under 3.0 goals3Interesting76.7Home under 3.0 goals92.9%84%
77
▲+8.9pp
Home under 2.5 goals2.5Interesting76.1Home under 2.5 goals81.7%73%
77
▲+8.7pp
Home win—Home win54.6%60%
77
▼-5.4pp
Draw—Draw27.5%25%
77
▲+2.5pp
Away win—Away win17.9%15%
77
▲+2.9pp
Home or draw—Home or draw82.1%84%
77
▼-1.9pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 65%model 55%▼-10pp
Xmarket 26%model 27%▲+1pp
2market 16%model 18%▲+2pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
58
Eligible
58
With a price
58
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.