GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇨🇴 Primera A · — · 21:00
versus

Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares

Santiago de las Atalayas
Pre-match analysis
68%
Under 2.5 goals
DE51
Draw30
JA19
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,25Raw implied probability44,4%Sum of the 1X2 book107,3%Operator margin removed−7,3 ptsDe-margined consensus41%Our model50.9%Measured gap+9.9 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 58
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away under 1.0 goals—77.6%55%+22.6
Away over 1.0 goals—22.6%45%−22.4
Away over 0.5 goals—49.1%65%−15.9
Away under 0.5 goals—50.9%35%+15.9
Home clean sheet—50.9%35%+15.9
Away over 1.5 goals—14.8%29%−14.2
Away under 1.5 goals—85.2%71%+14.2
Both teams to score—36.1%50%−13.9
Both teams to score: no—63.9%50%+13.9
Home draw no bet—72.8%59%+13.8
Away draw no bet—27.2%41%−13.8
Over 2.0 goals—43.4%57%−13.6

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

colombia-a · 23:00
DEPDEP
JAGJAG
Santiago de las Atalayas · Pre-match analysis
68%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.252.25•0%
X3.123.12•0%
23.253.25•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Away under 1.0 goals77.6%55%
72
▲+22.6pp
Away under 0.5 goals0.5High Signal95Away under 0.5 goals50.9%35%
72
▲+15.9pp
Home clean sheetHigh Signal95Home clean sheet50.9%35%
72
▲+15.9pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal92.6Away under 1.5 goals85.2%71%
72
▲+14.2pp
Both teams to score: noHigh Signal91.7Both teams to score: no63.9%50%
72
▲+13.9pp
Home draw no betHigh Signal91.4Home draw no bet72.8%59%
72
▲+13.8pp
Under 2.0 goals2High Signal90.8Under 2.0 goals56.6%43%
72
▲+13.6pp
Under 3.0 goals3Interesting83.9Under 3.0 goals83.3%72%
72
▲+11.3pp
Home win—Home win50.9%41%
72
▲+9.9pp
Draw—Draw30.1%30%
72
▲+0.1pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 44%model 51%▲+7pp
Xmarket 32%model 30%▼-2pp
2market 31%model 19%▼-12pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
58
Eligible
58
With a price
58
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.