GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇨🇴 Primera A · — · 23:10
versus

Millonarios
Deportivo Cali

—
Pre-match analysis
60%
Both teams to score: no
MI59
Draw26
DE15
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,73Raw implied probability57,8%Sum of the 1X2 book106,7%Operator margin removed−6,7 ptsDe-margined consensus54%Our model59.4%Measured gap+5.4 pp
Markets carrying a signal1 / 56
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—22.6%32%−9.4
Away under 1.0 goals—77.4%68%+9.4
Both teams to score—39.8%46%−6.2
Both teams to score: no—60.2%54%+6.2
Away over 1.5 goals—14.8%21%−6.2
Away under 1.5 goals—85.2%79%+6.2
Away over 0.5 goals—49.2%55%−5.8
Away under 0.5 goals—50.8%45%+5.8
Home clean sheet—50.8%45%+5.8
Home draw no bet—79.7%74%+5.7
Away draw no bet—20.3%26%−5.7
Home win—59.4%54%+5.4

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

colombia-a · 01:10
MILMIL
DEPDEP
— · Pre-match analysis
60%
Both teams to score: no

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.731.73•0%
X3.443.44•0%
25.055.05•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 1.0 goals1Interesting78.2Away under 1.0 goals77.4%68%
84
▲+9.4pp
Home win—Home win59.4%54%
84
▲+5.4pp
Draw—Draw25.5%27%
84
▼-1.5pp
Away win—Away win15.1%19%
84
▼-3.9pp
Home or draw—Home or draw84.9%82%
84
▲+2.9pp
Home or away—Home or away74.5%73%
84
▲+1.5pp
Draw or away—Draw or away40.6%46%
84
▼-5.4pp
Home draw no bet—Home draw no bet79.7%74%
84
▲+5.7pp
Away draw no bet—Away draw no bet20.3%26%
84
▼-5.7pp
Both teams to score—Both teams to score39.8%46%
84
▼-6.2pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 58%model 59%▲+1pp
Xmarket 29%model 26%▼-3pp
2market 20%model 15%▼-5pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
56
Eligible
56
With a price
56
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.