GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇨🇴 Primera A · — · 23:15
versus

Internacional de Bogota
Independiente Medellin

Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Pre-match analysis
61%
Victoire Independiente Medellin
IN16
Draw23
IN61
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,61Raw implied probability38,3%Sum of the 1X2 book107,4%Operator margin removed−7,4 ptsDe-margined consensus36%Our model16.1%Measured gap−19.9 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 62
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home draw no bet—21%50%−29
Away draw no bet—79%50%+29
Home over 1.0 goals—31.3%59%−27.7
Home under 1.0 goals—68.7%41%+27.7
Away win—60.5%35%+25.5
Home or draw—39.5%65%−25.5
Home win—16.1%36%−19.9
Home over 1.5 goals—20%39%−19
Home under 1.5 goals—80%61%+19
Away under 1.0 goals—23%42%−19
Draw or away—83.9%65%+18.9
Away over 1.0 goals—76.9%58%+18.9

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

colombia-a · 01:15
INTINT
INDIND
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo · Pre-match analysis
61%
Victoire IN

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.612.61•0%
X3.123.12•0%
22.702.70•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away draw no betHigh Signal95Away draw no bet79%50%
85
▲+29pp
Home under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Home under 1.0 goals68.7%41%
85
▲+27.7pp
Away winHigh Signal95Away win60.5%35%
85
▲+25.5pp
Home under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal95Home under 1.5 goals80%61%
85
▲+19pp
Draw or awayHigh Signal95Draw or away83.9%65%
85
▲+18.9pp
Away over 1.0 goals1High Signal95Away over 1.0 goals76.9%58%
85
▲+18.9pp
Away over 2.0 goals2High Signal95Away over 2.0 goals37.4%20%
85
▲+17.4pp
Home under 0.5 goals0.5High Signal95Home under 0.5 goals43.9%27%
85
▲+16.9pp
Home win—Home win16.1%36%
85
▼-19.9pp
Draw—Draw23.4%30%
85
▼-6.6pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 38%model 16%▼-22pp
Xmarket 32%model 23%▼-9pp
2market 37%model 61%▲+24pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
62
Eligible
62
With a price
62
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.