GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇨🇴 Primera A · — · 23:05
versus

Atletico Nacional
Santa Fe

Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Pre-match analysis
57%
Under 2.5 goals
AT54
Draw26
SA20
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,52Raw implied probability65,8%Sum of the 1X2 book107,8%Operator margin removed−7,8 ptsDe-margined consensus61%Our model54.1%Measured gap−6.9 pp
Markets carrying a signal6 / 64
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home under 2.0 goals—71.9%59%+12.9
Home over 2.0 goals—28.3%41%−12.7
Over 3.0 goals—28.4%38%−9.6
Under 3.0 goals—71.6%62%+9.6
Home over 1.5 goals—46.6%56%−9.4
Home under 1.5 goals—53.4%44%+9.4
Home over 3.0 goals—8.7%18%−9.3
Home under 3.0 goals—91.2%82%+9.2
Home over 2.5 goals—21%30%−9
Home under 2.5 goals—79%70%+9
Home over 1.0 goals—69.1%78%−8.9
Home under 1.0 goals—30.9%22%+8.9

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

colombia-a · 01:05
ATLATL
SANSAN
Estadio Atanasio Girardot · Pre-match analysis
57%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.521.52•0%
X3.953.95•0%
26.006.00•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home under 2.0 goals2High Signal88.7Home under 2.0 goals71.9%59%
74
▲+12.9pp
Under 3.0 goals3Interesting78.8Under 3.0 goals71.6%62%
74
▲+9.6pp
Home under 1.5 goals1.5Interesting78.2Home under 1.5 goals53.4%44%
74
▲+9.4pp
Home under 3.0 goals3Interesting77.6Home under 3.0 goals91.2%82%
74
▲+9.2pp
Home under 2.5 goals2.5Interesting77Home under 2.5 goals79%70%
74
▲+9pp
Home under 1.0 goals1Interesting76.7Home under 1.0 goals30.9%22%
74
▲+8.9pp
Home win—Home win54.1%61%
74
▼-6.9pp
Draw—Draw26.3%23%
74
▲+3.3pp
Away win—Away win19.6%15%
74
▲+4.6pp
Home or draw—Home or draw80.4%85%
74
▼-4.6pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 66%model 54%▼-12pp
Xmarket 25%model 26%▲+1pp
2market 17%model 20%▲+3pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
64
Eligible
64
With a price
64
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.