GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇨🇴 Primera A · · 23:05
versus

America de Cali
Fortaleza FC

Pre-match analysis
63%
Under 2.5 goals
AM58
Draw27
FO15
Why
America de Cali takes 2.2 points per game at home, the opponent 0.75 away
America de Cali takes 2.2 points per game at home against 1.16 away — two different sides depending on the ground
America de Cali has won 4 of its last 6
What could fool us
2 draws in the last 5 meetings — a historically tight fixture
Fortaleza FC takes 1.69 points per game at home against 0.75 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices America de Cali at 58%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

AMEAME
FORFOR
· Pre-match analysis
63%
Under 2.5 goals
58%
AME
27%
Draw
15%
FOR
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • America de Cali takes 2.2 points per game at home, the opponent 0.75 away
  • America de Cali takes 2.2 points per game at home against 1.16 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • America de Cali has won 4 of its last 6

What could mislead us

  • 2 draws in the last 5 meetings — a historically tight fixture
  • Fortaleza FC takes 1.69 points per game at home against 0.75 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

Interesting
Under 3.0 goals3Strength 75.5/100
Under 3.0 goals
Model
78.5%
Market
70%
Divergence
+8.5

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 78.5%, the market at 70%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

2 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices America de Cali at 58%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions