GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇩🇰 Superliga · — · 14:00
versus

Randers FC
Aarhus

Cepheus Park
Pre-match analysis
59%
Victoire Aarhus
RA17
Draw24
AA59
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 13,27Raw implied probability30,6%Sum of the 1X2 book106,7%Operator margin removed−6,7 ptsDe-margined consensus29%Our model17.3%Measured gap−11.7 pp
Markets carrying a signal7 / 36
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home draw no bet—22.8%38%−15.2
Away draw no bet—77.2%62%+15.2
Away win—58.5%45%+13.5
Home over 1.5 goals—22.1%35%−12.9
Home under 1.5 goals—77.9%65%+12.9
Home or draw—41.5%54%−12.5
Home over 0.5 goals—58.6%71%−12.4
Home under 0.5 goals—41.4%29%+12.4
Home win—17.3%29%−11.7
Draw or away—82.7%72%+10.7
Both teams to score—49.7%60%−10.3
Both teams to score: no—50.3%40%+10.3

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

denmark-sl · 16:00
RANRAN
AARAAR
Cepheus Park · Pre-match analysis
59%
Victoire AA

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
13.273.27•0%
X3.603.60•0%
22.072.07•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away draw no betHigh Signal95Away draw no bet77.2%62%
82
▲+15.2pp
Away winHigh Signal90.5Away win58.5%45%
82
▲+13.5pp
Home under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal88.7Home under 1.5 goals77.9%65%
82
▲+12.9pp
Home under 0.5 goals0.5High Signal87.2Home under 0.5 goals41.4%29%
82
▲+12.4pp
Draw or awayInteresting82.1Draw or away82.7%72%
82
▲+10.7pp
Both teams to score: noInteresting80.9Both teams to score: no50.3%40%
82
▲+10.3pp
Home under 2.5 goals2.5Interesting77Home under 2.5 goals94%85%
82
▲+9pp
Home win—Home win17.3%29%
82
▼-11.7pp
Draw—Draw24.2%26%
82
▼-1.8pp
Home or draw—Home or draw41.5%54%
82
▼-12.5pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 31%model 17%▼-14pp
Xmarket 28%model 24%▼-4pp
2market 48%model 59%▲+11pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
36
Eligible
36
With a price
36
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.