Watch🇩🇰 Superliga · — · 12:00
versus
Lyngby
Odense
Lyngby Stadion
Pre-match analysis
57%
Under 2.5 goals
LY30
Draw29
OD41
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,36Raw implied probability42,4%Sum of the 1X2 book105,8%Operator margin removed−5,8 ptsDe-margined consensus40%Our model29.8%Measured gap−10.2 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 44
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Over 3.0 goals—27.5%45%−17.5
Under 3.0 goals—72.5%55%+17.5
Home over 1.5 goals—29.3%46%−16.7
Home under 1.5 goals—70.7%54%+16.7
Over 2.5 goals—42.6%57%−14.4
Under 2.5 goals—57.4%43%+14.4
Over 3.5 goals—21.8%36%−14.2
Under 3.5 goals—78.2%64%+14.2
Home over 2.5 goals—9.5%23%−13.5
Home under 2.5 goals—90.5%77%+13.5
Home draw no bet—42.1%54%−11.9
Away draw no bet—57.9%46%+11.9
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
