GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇩🇰 Superliga · — · 14:00
versus

AC Horsens
Lyngby

Hybel Arena Horsens · Referee m-tykgaard
Pre-match analysis
66%
Under 2.5 goals
AC30
Draw32
LY38
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,83Raw implied probability35,3%Sum of the 1X2 book106,3%Operator margin removed−6,3 ptsDe-margined consensus33%Our model30.1%Measured gap−2.9 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 62
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Under 2.0 goals—53.3%36%+17.3
Over 3.0 goals—18.7%36%−17.3
Under 3.0 goals—81.3%64%+17.3
Over 2.0 goals—46.8%64%−17.2
Home over 1.0 goals—38.9%56%−17.1
Home under 1.0 goals—61.1%44%+17.1
Over 2.5 goals—33.7%50%−16.3
Under 2.5 goals—66.3%50%+16.3
Away over 1.0 goals—47.5%62%−14.5
Away under 1.0 goals—52.5%38%+14.5
Over 3.5 goals—15.2%29%−13.8
Under 3.5 goals—84.8%71%+13.8

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

denmark-sl · 16:00
AC AC
LYNLYN
Hybel Arena Horsens · Pre-match analysis
66%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.812.83▲+0.02%
X3.303.33▲+0.03%
22.442.44•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Under 2.0 goals2High Signal95Under 2.0 goals53.3%36%
48
▲+17.3pp
Under 3.0 goals3High Signal95Under 3.0 goals81.3%64%
48
▲+17.3pp
Home under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Home under 1.0 goals61.1%44%
48
▲+17.1pp
Under 2.5 goals2.5High Signal95Under 2.5 goals66.3%50%
48
▲+16.3pp
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal93.5Away under 1.0 goals52.5%38%
48
▲+14.5pp
Under 3.5 goals3.5High Signal91.4Under 3.5 goals84.8%71%
48
▲+13.8pp
Both teams to score: noHigh Signal89.6Both teams to score: no58.2%45%
48
▲+13.2pp
Home under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal87.2Home under 1.5 goals75.4%63%
48
▲+12.4pp
Home win—Home win30.1%33%
48
▼-2.9pp
Draw—Draw32.1%28%
48
▲+4.1pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 35%model 30%▼-5pp
Xmarket 30%model 32%▲+2pp
2market 41%model 38%▼-3pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
62
Eligible
62
With a price
62
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.