GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇩🇰 Superliga · — · 12:00
versus

FC Midtjylland
Randers FC

MCH Arena · Referee j-maae
Pre-match analysis
73%
Victoire FC Midtjylland
FC73
Draw17
RA10
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,44Raw implied probability69,4%Sum of the 1X2 book106,8%Operator margin removed−6,8 ptsDe-margined consensus65%Our model72.9%Measured gap+7.9 pp
Markets carrying a signal1 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 2.0 goals—59.1%51%+8.1
Home under 2.0 goals—40.9%49%−8.1
Home win—72.9%65%+7.9
Draw or away—27.1%35%−7.9
Away over 1.0 goals—29.3%37%−7.7
Away under 1.0 goals—70.7%63%+7.7
Home draw no bet—88.1%81%+7.1
Away draw no bet—11.9%19%−7.1
Home over 1.5 goals—69.7%63%+6.7
Home under 1.5 goals—30.3%37%−6.7
Away over 1.5 goals—18.8%25%−6.2
Away under 1.5 goals—81.2%75%+6.2

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

denmark-sl · 14:00
FC FC
RANRAN
MCH Arena · Pre-match analysis
73%
Victoire FC

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.441.44•0%
X4.504.55▲+0.05%
26.406.50▲+0.1%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home over 2.0 goals2Interesting74.3Home over 2.0 goals59.1%51%
95
▲+8.1pp
Home win—Home win72.9%65%
95
▲+7.9pp
Draw—Draw17.3%21%
95
▼-3.7pp
Away win—Away win9.8%14%
95
▼-4.2pp
Home or draw—Home or draw90.2%85%
95
▲+5.2pp
Home or away—Home or away82.7%80%
95
▲+2.7pp
Draw or away—Draw or away27.1%35%
95
▼-7.9pp
Home draw no bet—Home draw no bet88.1%81%
95
▲+7.1pp
Away draw no bet—Away draw no bet11.9%19%
95
▼-7.1pp
Both teams to score—Both teams to score50.4%54%
95
▼-3.6pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 69%model 73%▲+4pp
Xmarket 22%model 17%▼-5pp
2market 15%model 10%▼-5pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
66
Eligible
66
With a price
66
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.