GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇩🇰 Superliga · — · 10:00
versus

Sonderjyske
FC Nordsjaelland

Haderslev Football Stadium · Referee m-krogh
Pre-match analysis
59%
Both teams to score
SO29
Draw26
FC45
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 14,00Raw implied probability25,0%Sum of the 1X2 book106,5%Operator margin removed−6,5 ptsDe-margined consensus23%Our model29.2%Measured gap+6.2 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 70
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 2.0 goals—30.4%47%−16.6
Away under 2.0 goals—69.5%53%+16.5
Over 3.0 goals—42.9%56%−13.1
Under 3.0 goals—57.1%44%+13.1
Over 4.0 goals—20.3%33%−12.7
Under 4.0 goals—79.7%67%+12.7
Away over 2.5 goals—22.5%35%−12.5
Away under 2.5 goals—77.5%65%+12.5
Away over 1.5 goals—48.6%61%−12.4
Away under 1.5 goals—51.4%39%+12.4
Away over 3.0 goals—9.7%22%−12.3
Away under 3.0 goals—90.3%78%+12.3

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

denmark-sl · 12:00
SONSON
FC FC
Haderslev Football Stadium · Pre-match analysis
59%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
13.834.00▲+0.17%
X4.004.10▲+0.1%
21.791.75▼-0.04%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 2.0 goals2High Signal95Away under 2.0 goals69.5%53%
59
▲+16.5pp
Under 3.0 goals3High Signal89.3Under 3.0 goals57.1%44%
59
▲+13.1pp
Under 4.0 goals4High Signal88.1Under 4.0 goals79.7%67%
59
▲+12.7pp
Away under 2.5 goals2.5High Signal87.5Away under 2.5 goals77.5%65%
59
▲+12.5pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal87.2Away under 1.5 goals51.4%39%
59
▲+12.4pp
Away under 3.0 goals3High Signal86.9Away under 3.0 goals90.3%78%
59
▲+12.3pp
Under 3.5 goals3.5Interesting85.1Under 3.5 goals66.7%55%
59
▲+11.7pp
Away under 1.0 goals1Interesting81.8Away under 1.0 goals28.6%18%
59
▲+10.6pp
Home win—Home win29.2%23%
59
▲+6.2pp
Draw—Draw25.8%23%
59
▲+2.8pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 25%model 29%▲+4pp
Xmarket 24%model 26%▲+2pp
2market 57%model 45%▼-12pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
70
Eligible
70
With a price
70
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.