GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇩🇰 Superliga · — · 12:00
versus

Aarhus
Odense

New Vejlby Stadium · Referee m-kristoffersen
Pre-match analysis
68%
Victoire Aarhus
AA68
Draw19
OD13
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,76Raw implied probability56,8%Sum of the 1X2 book106,8%Operator margin removed−6,8 ptsDe-margined consensus53%Our model68.1%Measured gap+15.1 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 66
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 2.0 goals—56.9%40%+16.9
Home under 2.0 goals—43.1%60%−16.9
Home win—68.1%53%+15.1
Draw or away—31.9%47%−15.1
Home draw no bet—84%70%+14
Away draw no bet—16%30%−14
Home over 1.5 goals—68.2%56%+12.2
Home under 1.5 goals—31.8%44%−12.2
Away over 1.0 goals—38.9%51%−12.1
Away under 1.0 goals—61.1%49%+12.1
Home over 2.5 goals—41.9%30%+11.9
Home under 2.5 goals—58.1%70%−11.9

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

denmark-sl · 14:00
AARAAR
ODEODE
New Vejlby Stadium · Pre-match analysis
68%
Victoire AA

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.751.76▲+0.01%
X3.903.90•0%
24.154.10▼-0.05%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home over 2.0 goals2High Signal95Home over 2.0 goals56.9%40%
95
▲+16.9pp
Home winHigh Signal95Home win68.1%53%
95
▲+15.1pp
Home draw no betHigh Signal92Home draw no bet84%70%
95
▲+14pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5High Signal86.6Home over 1.5 goals68.2%56%
95
▲+12.2pp
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal86.3Away under 1.0 goals61.1%49%
95
▲+12.1pp
Home over 2.5 goals2.5Interesting85.7Home over 2.5 goals41.9%30%
95
▲+11.9pp
Home over 3.0 goals3Interesting82.1Home over 3.0 goals26.7%16%
95
▲+10.7pp
Home or drawInteresting80Home or draw87%77%
95
▲+10pp
Draw—Draw18.9%24%
95
▼-5.1pp
Away win—Away win13%23%
95
▼-10pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 57%model 68%▲+11pp
Xmarket 26%model 19%▼-7pp
2market 24%model 13%▼-11pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
66
Eligible
66
With a price
66
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.