GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇭🇷 HNL · · 16:30
versus

NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica

Gradski stadion Ivan Kušek Apaš
20
Full time
53%
Under 2.5 goals
NK40
Draw29
HN31
Why
HNK Gorica's defence sits at the 32th percentile — among the weakest
NK Slaven Belupo takes 1.46 points per game at home, the opponent 0.85 away
NK Slaven Belupo takes 1.46 points per game at home against 0.85 away — two different sides depending on the ground
HNK Gorica has lost 5 of its last 6
NK Slaven Belupo has won 6 of the last 8 meetings
What could fool us
NK Slaven Belupo's defence sits at the 14th percentile — among the weakest
NK Slaven Belupo has lost 5 of its last 6
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices NK Slaven Belupo at 40%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

NK NK
HNKHNK
Gradski stadion Ivan Kušek Apaš
20
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed53%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
40%
Win NK
what happened
29%
Draw
31%
Win HNK
40%at opening40%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Why

  • HNK Gorica's defence sits at the 32th percentile — among the weakest
  • NK Slaven Belupo takes 1.46 points per game at home, the opponent 0.85 away
  • NK Slaven Belupo takes 1.46 points per game at home against 0.85 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • HNK Gorica has lost 5 of its last 6
  • NK Slaven Belupo has won 6 of the last 8 meetings

What could mislead us

  • NK Slaven Belupo's defence sits at the 14th percentile — among the weakest
  • NK Slaven Belupo has lost 5 of its last 6
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Away under 1.0 goals1Strength 88.4/100
Away under 1.0 goals
Model
48.8%
Market
36%
Divergence
+12.8

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 48.8%, the market at 36%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

5 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices NK Slaven Belupo at 40%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions