GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇨🇳 Super League · — · 11:35
versus

SHANGHAI SIPG
Qingdao Jonoon

Pudong Football Stadium
Pre-match analysis
77%
Victoire SHANGHAI SIPG
SH77
Draw14
QI9
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,30Raw implied probability76,9%Sum of the 1X2 book108,1%Operator margin removed−8,1 ptsDe-margined consensus71%Our model76.7%Measured gap+5.7 pp
Markets carrying a signal2 / 76
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 2.0 goals—72%63%+9
Home under 2.0 goals—28.1%37%−8.9
Over 3.0 goals—67.3%59%+8.3
Under 3.0 goals—32.7%41%−8.3
Home over 3.0 goals—42.4%35%+7.4
Home under 3.0 goals—57.6%65%−7.4
Home over 2.5 goals—55.3%48%+7.3
Home under 2.5 goals—44.7%52%−7.3
Over 2.0 goals—88%81%+7
Under 2.0 goals—12%19%−7
Over 3.5 goals—53.7%47%+6.7
Under 3.5 goals—46.3%53%−6.7

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

china-sl · 13:35
SHASHA
QINQIN
Pudong Football Stadium · Pre-match analysis
77%
Victoire SH

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.301.30•0%
X5.285.35▲+0.07%
27.908.00▲+0.1%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home over 2.0 goals2Interesting77Home over 2.0 goals72%63%
95
▲+9pp
Over 3.0 goals3Interesting74.9Over 3.0 goals67.3%59%
95
▲+8.3pp
Home win—Home win76.7%71%
95
▲+5.7pp
Draw—Draw14.1%17%
95
▼-2.9pp
Away win—Away win9.2%12%
95
▼-2.8pp
Home or draw—Home or draw90.8%88%
95
▲+2.8pp
Home or away—Home or away85.9%83%
95
▲+2.9pp
Draw or away—Draw or away23.3%29%
95
▼-5.7pp
Home draw no bet—Home draw no bet89.3%86%
95
▲+3.3pp
Away draw no bet—Away draw no bet10.7%14%
95
▼-3.3pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 77%model 77%•0pp
Xmarket 19%model 14%▼-5pp
2market 13%model 9%▼-4pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
76
Eligible
76
With a price
76
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.