GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇨🇳 Super League · — · 12:00
versus

Qingdao Youth Island
Shandong Luneng

Guzhenkou University Sports Center
2 – 0
Full time
61%
Both teams to score
QI28
Draw24
SH48
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,47Raw implied probability40,5%Sum of the 1X2 book107,5%Operator margin removed−7,5 ptsDe-margined consensus—Our model28%Measured gap—
Markets carrying a signal7 / 67
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home draw no bet—37.5%51%−13.5
Away draw no bet—62.5%49%+13.5
Home or draw—52.6%64%−11.4
Draw or away—71.6%62%+9.6
Away over 1.0 goals—75.3%66%+9.3
Away under 1.0 goals—24.7%34%−9.3
Home over 2.0 goals—19.2%28%−8.8
Home under 2.0 goals—80.8%72%+8.8
Home under 1.0 goals—41.4%33%+8.4
Home over 1.0 goals—58.7%67%−8.3
Away over 2.0 goals—35.3%27%+8.3
Away under 2.0 goals—64.7%73%−8.3

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

china-sl · 14:00
QINQIN
SHASHA
Guzhenkou University Sports Center
2 – 0
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted✕61%Both teams to score · announced before kick-off
28%
Win QIN
what happened
24%
Draw
48%
Win SHA
28%at opening→28%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.472.47•0%
X3.503.50•0%
22.602.60•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away draw no betHigh Signal90.5Away draw no bet62.5%49%
64
▲+13.5pp
Draw or awayInteresting78.8Draw or away71.6%62%
64
▲+9.6pp
Away over 1.0 goals1Interesting77.9Away over 1.0 goals75.3%66%
64
▲+9.3pp
Home under 2.0 goals2Interesting76.4Home under 2.0 goals80.8%72%
64
▲+8.8pp
Home under 1.0 goals1Interesting75.2Home under 1.0 goals41.4%33%
64
▲+8.4pp
Away over 2.0 goals2Interesting74.9Away over 2.0 goals35.3%27%
64
▲+8.3pp
Home under 1.5 goals1.5Interesting74Home under 1.5 goals62%54%
64
▲+8pp
Home or draw—Home or draw52.6%64%
64
▼-11.4pp
Home or away—Home or away75.8%74%
64
▲+1.8pp
Home draw no bet—Home draw no bet37.5%51%
64
▼-13.5pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 40%model 28%▼-12pp
Xmarket 29%model 24%▼-5pp
2market 38%model 48%▲+10pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
67
Eligible
67
With a price
67
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.