No signal🇨🇳 Super League · — · 12:00
versus
Beijing Guoan
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Workers' Stadium
3 – 3
Full time
79%
Over 2.5 goals
BE64
Draw18
YU18
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,44Raw implied probability69,4%Sum of the 1X2 book108,3%Operator margin removed−8,3 ptsDe-margined consensus—Our model64%Measured gap—
Markets carrying a signal1 / 75
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—65.1%55%+10.1
Away under 1.0 goals—34.9%45%−10.1
Over 3.0 goals—74.1%67%+7.1
Under 3.0 goals—25.9%33%−7.1
Home over 1.0 goals—92.1%85%+7.1
Home under 1.0 goals—7.9%15%−7.1
Over 3.5 goals—60.4%54%+6.4
Under 3.5 goals—39.6%46%−6.4
Over 2.5 goals—78.9%73%+5.9
Under 2.5 goals—21.1%27%−5.9
Under 4.0 goals—49.1%55%−5.9
Away over 0.5 goals—76.9%71%+5.9
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
