GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇨🇳 Super League · · 11:35
versus

Sichuan Jiuniu
Hangzhou Greentown

Longquanyi Stadium
11
Full time
68%
Over 2.5 goals
SI28
Draw22
HA50
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,41Raw implied probability41,5%Sum of the 1X2 book107,5%Operator margin removed−7,5 ptsDe-margined consensusOur model28%Measured gap
Markets carrying a signal7 / 71
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home draw no bet35.8%52%−16.2
Away draw no bet64.2%48%+16.2
Away over 2.0 goals44.7%29%+15.7
Away under 2.0 goals55.3%71%−15.7
Home or draw50.1%65%−14.9
Away over 1.0 goals81.7%67%+14.7
Away under 1.0 goals18.3%33%−14.7
Away over 1.5 goals59.7%47%+12.7
Away under 1.5 goals40.3%53%−12.7
Away over 2.5 goals32.6%22%+10.6
Away under 2.5 goals67.4%78%−10.6
Draw or away72.2%62%+10.2

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

SICSIC
HANHAN
Longquanyi Stadium
11
Full time

Final result

i
Refuted68%Over 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
28%
Win SIC
22%
Draw
what happened
50%
Win HAN
28%at opening28%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.412.410%
X3.553.550%
22.642.640%

Model outputs by market

i
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away draw no betHigh Signal95Away draw no bet64.2%48%
68
+16.2pp
Away over 2.0 goals2High Signal95Away over 2.0 goals44.7%29%
68
+15.7pp
Away over 1.0 goals1High Signal94.1Away over 1.0 goals81.7%67%
68
+14.7pp
Away over 1.5 goals1.5High Signal88.1Away over 1.5 goals59.7%47%
68
+12.7pp
Away over 2.5 goals2.5Interesting81.8Away over 2.5 goals32.6%22%
68
+10.6pp
Draw or awayInteresting80.6Draw or away72.2%62%
68
+10.2pp
Away over 0.5 goals0.5Interesting75.8Away over 0.5 goals86.6%78%
68
+8.6pp
Home or drawHome or draw50.1%65%
68
-14.9pp
Home or awayHome or away77.7%74%
68
+3.7pp
Home draw no betHome draw no bet35.8%52%
68
-16.2pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 41%model 28%-13pp
Xmarket 28%model 22%-6pp
2market 38%model 50%+12pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
71
Eligible
71
With a price
71
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.