No signal🇨🇳 Super League · — · 11:35
versus
Chengdu Better City
Shanghai Shenhua
Shuangliu Sports Centre
4 – 5
Full time
57%
Both teams to score
CH45
Draw26
SH29
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,83Raw implied probability54,6%Sum of the 1X2 book107,6%Operator margin removed−7,6 ptsDe-margined consensus—Our model45%Measured gap—
Markets carrying a signal8 / 73
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home over 2.0 goals—29.1%49%−19.9
Home under 2.0 goals—70.9%51%+19.9
Over 3.0 goals—40.5%60%−19.5
Under 3.0 goals—59.5%40%+19.5
Over 4.0 goals—18.6%37%−18.4
Under 4.0 goals—81.4%63%+18.4
Over 3.5 goals—31.5%48%−16.5
Under 3.5 goals—68.5%52%+16.5
Home over 1.5 goals—47.4%62%−14.6
Home under 1.5 goals—52.6%38%+14.6
Home over 2.5 goals—21.6%36%−14.4
Home under 2.5 goals—78.4%64%+14.4
A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.
