GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇸🇪 Allsvenskan · · 14:30
versus

Hammarby FF
Gais

3Arena · Referee v-wolf
Pre-match analysis
56%
Under 2.5 goals
HA48
Draw28
GA24
Why
Hammarby FF's attack sits at the 97th percentile of the league
Hammarby FF takes 2.46 points per game at home, the opponent 1.39 away
Gais has 14 declared absences
Hammarby FF takes 2.46 points per game at home against 1.57 away — two different sides depending on the ground
Hammarby FF has won 5 of its last 6
Hammarby FF scores 2.6 goals per game at home
What could fool us
Hammarby FF has 4 declared absences
2 draws in the last 5 meetings — a historically tight fixture
Gais has won 3 of the last 5 meetings
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

The model prices Hammarby FF at 48%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

HAMHAM
GAIGAI
3Arena · Pre-match analysis
56%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
HAM
28%
Draw
24%
GAI
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Hammarby FF's attack sits at the 97th percentile of the league
  • Hammarby FF takes 2.46 points per game at home, the opponent 1.39 away
  • Gais has 14 declared absences
  • Hammarby FF takes 2.46 points per game at home against 1.57 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Hammarby FF has won 5 of its last 6
  • Hammarby FF scores 2.6 goals per game at home

What could mislead us

  • Hammarby FF has 4 declared absences
  • 2 draws in the last 5 meetings — a historically tight fixture
  • Gais has won 3 of the last 5 meetings
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home under 2.0 goals2Strength 95/100
Home under 2.0 goals
Model
75.7%
Market
46%
Divergence
+29.7

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 75.7%, the market at 46%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
v-wolf
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

The model prices Hammarby FF at 48%. The factors below are measured or declared — never narrated.

Limits & assumptions