GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇸🇪 Allsvenskan · — · 12:00
versus

IFK Goteborg
IF Elfsborg

Gamla Ullevi · Referee m-al-hakim
Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score
IF51
Draw26
IF23
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,55Raw implied probability39,2%Sum of the 1X2 book107,5%Operator margin removed−7,5 ptsDe-margined consensus36%Our model50.6%Measured gap+14.6 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 62
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home draw no bet—68.2%50%+18.2
Away draw no bet—31.8%50%−18.2
Away over 1.0 goals—45.3%62%−16.7
Away under 1.0 goals—54.7%38%+16.7
Home win—50.6%36%+14.6
Draw or away—49.4%64%−14.6
Home or draw—76.4%63%+13.4
Away over 1.5 goals—28.7%42%−13.3
Away under 1.5 goals—71.3%58%+13.3
Away win—23.6%36%−12.4
Away over 2.0 goals—11.4%23%−11.6
Away under 2.0 goals—88.6%77%+11.6

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

allsvenskan · 14:00
IFKIFK
IF IF
Gamla Ullevi · Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.562.55▼-0.01%
X3.403.40•0%
22.582.57▼-0.01%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home draw no betHigh Signal95Home draw no bet68.2%50%
68
▲+18.2pp
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Away under 1.0 goals54.7%38%
68
▲+16.7pp
Home winHigh Signal93.8Home win50.6%36%
68
▲+14.6pp
Home or drawHigh Signal90.2Home or draw76.4%63%
68
▲+13.4pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal89.9Away under 1.5 goals71.3%58%
68
▲+13.3pp
Away under 2.0 goals2Interesting84.8Away under 2.0 goals88.6%77%
68
▲+11.6pp
Away under 2.5 goals2.5Interesting79.4Away under 2.5 goals90.8%81%
68
▲+9.8pp
Home clean sheetInteresting78.8Home clean sheet34.6%25%
68
▲+9.6pp
Draw—Draw25.8%27%
68
▼-1.2pp
Away win—Away win23.6%36%
68
▼-12.4pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 39%model 51%▲+12pp
Xmarket 29%model 26%▼-3pp
2market 39%model 23%▼-16pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
62
Eligible
62
With a price
62
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.