GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇦🇷 Liga Profesional Argentina · — · 20:00
versus

Rosario Central
Gimnasia L.P.

Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Pre-match analysis
75%
Under 2.5 goals
RO53
Draw32
GI15
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 11,90Raw implied probability52,6%Sum of the 1X2 book106,3%Operator margin removed−6,3 ptsDe-margined consensus49%Our model52.5%Measured gap+3.5 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 56
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—13.9%33%−19.1
Away under 1.0 goals—86.1%67%+19.1
Over 2.0 goals—34.3%51%−16.7
Under 2.0 goals—65.7%49%+16.7
Away over 0.5 goals—40.5%56%−15.5
Away under 0.5 goals—59.5%44%+15.5
Both teams to score—29.1%44%−14.9
Both teams to score: no—70.9%56%+14.9
Over 2.5 goals—25%39%−14
Under 2.5 goals—75%61%+14
Over 3.0 goals—11.4%25%−13.6
Home clean sheet—59.5%46%+13.5

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

argentina-lpf · 22:00
ROSROS
GIMGIM
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito · Pre-match analysis
75%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.901.90•0%
X3.233.23•0%
24.364.41▲+0.05%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Away under 1.0 goals86.1%67%
78
▲+19.1pp
Under 2.0 goals2High Signal95Under 2.0 goals65.7%49%
78
▲+16.7pp
Away under 0.5 goals0.5High Signal95Away under 0.5 goals59.5%44%
78
▲+15.5pp
Both teams to score: noHigh Signal94.7Both teams to score: no70.9%56%
78
▲+14.9pp
Under 2.5 goals2.5High Signal92Under 2.5 goals75%61%
78
▲+14pp
Home clean sheetHigh Signal90.5Home clean sheet59.5%46%
78
▲+13.5pp
Under 3.0 goals3High Signal90.2Under 3.0 goals88.4%75%
78
▲+13.4pp
Under 1.5 goals1.5Interesting85.4Under 1.5 goals47.8%36%
78
▲+11.8pp
Home win—Home win52.5%49%
78
▲+3.5pp
Draw—Draw32.3%29%
78
▲+3.3pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 53%model 53%•0pp
Xmarket 31%model 32%▲+1pp
2market 23%model 15%▼-8pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
56
Eligible
56
With a price
56
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.