GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇦🇷 Liga Profesional Argentina · — · 00:00
versus

Newells Old Boys
Banfield

Estadio Marcelo Bielsa · Referee f-viola
1 – 0
65:00
64%
Under 2.5 goals
NE39
Draw31
BA30
Head to head
3
NEW
1
Draw
4
BAN
févr. 2026BAN — NEW3 – 0
juil. 2025NEW — BAN1 – 2
janv. 2025BAN — NEW3 – 0
juin 2024BAN — NEW2 – 0
févr. 2023NEW — BAN2 – 0
juin 2022BAN — NEW1 – 2
avr. 2022NEW — BAN1 – 0
déc. 2021NEW — BAN0 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

How the analysis moved
22/08 05h39%—
Our past analyses in this competition

No analysis has been resolved in this competition yet.

Every resolved analysis stays on display with the probability it carried, confirmed or refuted.

Competition standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

argentina-lpf · 02:0065'
NEWNEW
BANBAN
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
1 – 0
65:00

Live intelligence

i65'
Modèle en direct : issue recalculée depuis le score et la minute (Poisson restant sur les intensités d'avant-match). L'intensité est comptée sur les événements horodatés, par tranche de cinq minutes.
Live win probabilityat 1–0, 65'
82%
NE win
16%
Draw
2%
BA win
▲+43ppvs pre-kick-off model
MomentumRolling 5-minute pressure index
KO65'
Expected goals
0.00—0.00
Home side ahead of its expected goals by 1.00.
xG trajectory
Observed statistics
Key moments
  • 60'Substitution 2 BANF. AlvarezBAN
  • 59'Substitution 1 BANL. CanoBAN
  • 51'Normal Goal NEWM. CoccaroNEW
  • 50'Yellow Card BANF. AlvarezBAN
  • 46'Substitution 1 NEWI. RamirezNEW
  • 44'Yellow Card NEWJ. GomezNEW
  • 4'Yellow Card BANT. AdoryanBAN
Model changes
  • ▲+14pp51' — NEW goalScore state changed. The remaining-time model re-weighted NEW's control of the match.
  • •0ppxG accumulationChance quality created since kick-off, independent of the scoreline.

Live estimates depend on the event feed. When an event is delayed or missing, the model keeps its previous state rather than inventing one.

Time Machine

i

What changed?

()
View full timeline

Evolution over time

i
NE winDrawBA win

Snapshot ledger

i
SnapshotPrediction IDModel versionData qualityConfidence
22/08 05hprd_20260823_af-1493086_220805hv1.9.354%37%

What would have to change

i22.3 pt span
Red card39 → 17.9-21.1
Opponent scores first39 → 36.2-2.8
High tempo39 → 40.2+1.2
Low tempo39 → 38-1
Key substitution39 → 38-1
Early goal39 → 390

No single change reverses the lean, which is what makes the headline probability worth reading.

Scenario library

i

Head to head

i
3
NE wins
1
Draws
4
BA wins
21 Feb 2026BAN — NEW3 – 0
20 Jul 2025NEW — BAN1 – 2
28 Jan 2025BAN — NEW3 – 0
5 Jun 2024BAN — NEW2 – 0
19 Feb 2023NEW — BAN2 – 0
4 Jun 2022BAN — NEW1 – 2
20 Apr 2022NEW — BAN1 – 0
7 Dec 2021NEW — BAN0 – 0

The record is counted from the point of view of today's home side, whichever ground each meeting was played on. History is context, never a causal driver.

Similar matches(past meetings, as the registry holds them)

View all

Notes

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