GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇦🇷 Liga Profesional Argentina · — · 21:30
versus

Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia

— · Referee y-perez
Pre-match analysis
74%
Under 2.5 goals
IN48
Draw33
IN19
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,21Raw implied probability45,2%Sum of the 1X2 book106,5%Operator margin removed−6,5 ptsDe-margined consensus42%Our model48%Measured gap+6 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 54
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Away over 1.0 goals—18.7%39%−20.3
Away under 1.0 goals—81.3%61%+20.3
Over 2.0 goals—35.4%53%−17.6
Under 2.0 goals—64.6%47%+17.6
Away over 0.5 goals—45.6%61%−15.4
Away under 0.5 goals—54.4%39%+15.4
Both teams to score—31.9%46%−14.1
Both teams to score: no—68.1%54%+14.1
Away over 1.5 goals—12.5%26%−13.5
Away under 1.5 goals—87.5%74%+13.5
Home clean sheet—54.4%41%+13.4
Over 2.5 goals—25.7%38%−12.3

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

argentina-lpf · 23:30
INDIND
INDIND
— · Pre-match analysis
74%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
11.992.21▲+0.22%
X3.213.06▼-0.15%
24.003.50▼-0.5%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Away under 1.0 goals1High Signal95Away under 1.0 goals81.3%61%
69
▲+20.3pp
Under 2.0 goals2High Signal95Under 2.0 goals64.6%47%
69
▲+17.6pp
Away under 0.5 goals0.5High Signal95Away under 0.5 goals54.4%39%
69
▲+15.4pp
Both teams to score: noHigh Signal92.3Both teams to score: no68.1%54%
69
▲+14.1pp
Away under 1.5 goals1.5High Signal90.5Away under 1.5 goals87.5%74%
69
▲+13.5pp
Home clean sheetHigh Signal90.2Home clean sheet54.4%41%
69
▲+13.4pp
Under 2.5 goals2.5High Signal86.9Under 2.5 goals74.3%62%
69
▲+12.3pp
Under 3.0 goals3High Signal86Under 3.0 goals88%76%
69
▲+12pp
Home win—Home win48%42%
69
▲+6pp
Draw—Draw33.2%31%
69
▲+2.2pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 45%model 48%▲+3pp
Xmarket 33%model 33%•0pp
2market 29%model 19%▼-10pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
54
Eligible
54
With a price
54
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.