GRABBLESTATS
High Signal🇦🇷 Liga Profesional Argentina · · 00:00
versus

Huracan
Deportivo Riestra

· Referee f-tello
00
63:00
79%
Under 2.5 goals
HU32
Draw37
DE31
Why
Huracan takes 1.46 points per game at home, the opponent 0.75 away
What could fool us
2 draws in the last 4 meetings — a historically tight fixture
Deportivo Riestra takes 1.78 points per game at home against 0.75 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
Assisted summary

No outcome clears the field: the model reads this fixture as open.

No limit is declared alongside this summary. Limits are published with the factors, and neither is measured on this fixture yet.

News impactmeasured effect on the probability

No press item is attached to this fixture. Items appear once a headline matches an entity of the registry — and their measured effect stays at zero until an extractor turns one into a fact.

Data readinesswhat feeds the analysis, and what is missing

Data readiness is not published for this fixture. The family scores — squad, form, market, context — come from an engine that has not yet run over the ingested fixtures.

Key signals

No signal is measured for this fixture. A signal is a weighted factor carrying its contribution in points; until the ingested history supports one, the analysis stands on the probability alone.

HURHUR
DEPDEP
00
63:00

Live intelligence

i63'
Modèle en direct : issue recalculée depuis le score et la minute (Poisson restant sur les intensités d'avant-match). L'intensité est comptée sur les événements horodatés, par tranche de cinq minutes.
Live win probabilityat 0–0, 63'
17%
HU win
66%
Draw
17%
DE win
-15ppvs pre-kick-off model
MomentumRolling 5-minute pressure index
KO63'
Expected goals
0.000.00
Scoreline broadly in line with expected goals.
xG trajectory
Observed statistics
Key moments
  • 60'Yellow Card DEPM. BracamonteDEP
  • 58'Substitution 1 HURT. UribeHUR
  • 28'Yellow Card DEPF. MinoDEP
Model changes
  • 0ppxG accumulationChance quality created since kick-off, independent of the scoreline.

Live estimates depend on the event feed. When an event is delayed or missing, the model keeps its previous state rather than inventing one.

32%
HUR
37%
Draw
31%
DEP
▲ +0 pp since opening · data quality 60

Why

  • Huracan takes 1.46 points per game at home, the opponent 0.75 away

What could mislead us

  • 2 draws in the last 4 meetings — a historically tight fixture
  • Deportivo Riestra takes 1.78 points per game at home against 0.75 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

Key signals

i

Leading market

High Signal
Home under 1.0 goals1Strength 95/100
Home under 1.0 goals
Model
70.8%
Market
50%
Divergence
+20.8

Why this level

  • The model prices this at 70.8%, the market at 50%.

What holds it back

  • Model not yet calibrated on this league: the gap may overstate the edge.

8 markets carry a signalthe rest are ranked in the Market Explorer.

Context snapshot

Referee
f-tello
Pitch
Rest advantage
Fatigue —
Travel

Standings

No table is published for this competition — GrabbleStats tracks only part of it.

AI Reasoning

iExplanation layer

No outcome clears the field: the model reads this fixture as open.

Limits & assumptions