GRABBLESTATS
Interesting🇦🇷 Liga Profesional Argentina · — · 17:45
versus

Barracas Central
Platense

Claudio Fabian Tapia · Referee h-mastrangelo
Pre-match analysis
66%
Under 2.5 goals
BA46
Draw31
PL23
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,63Raw implied probability38,0%Sum of the 1X2 book106,2%Operator margin removed−6,2 ptsDe-margined consensus36%Our model46.4%Measured gap+10.4 pp
Markets carrying a signal7 / 56
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home draw no bet—67.1%54%+13.1
Away draw no bet—32.9%46%−13.1
Home over 1.0 goals—56.1%43%+13.1
Home under 1.0 goals—43.9%57%−13.1
Draw or away—53.6%65%−11.4
Home win—46.4%36%+10.4
Away clean sheet—28.2%38%−9.8
Home over 0.5 goals—71.8%63%+8.8
Home under 0.5 goals—28.2%37%−8.8
Away win—22.8%31%−8.2
Home or draw—77.2%69%+8.2
Home over 1.5 goals—36.1%28%+8.1

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

argentina-lpf · 19:45
BARBAR
PLAPLA
Claudio Fabian Tapia · Pre-match analysis
66%
Under 2.5 goals

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.622.63▲+0.01%
X2.802.80•0%
23.063.08▲+0.02%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home draw no betHigh Signal89.3Home draw no bet67.1%54%
63
▲+13.1pp
Home over 1.0 goals1High Signal89.3Home over 1.0 goals56.1%43%
63
▲+13.1pp
Home winInteresting81.2Home win46.4%36%
63
▲+10.4pp
Home over 0.5 goals0.5Interesting76.4Home over 0.5 goals71.8%63%
63
▲+8.8pp
Home or drawInteresting74.6Home or draw77.2%69%
63
▲+8.2pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5Interesting74.3Home over 1.5 goals36.1%28%
63
▲+8.1pp
Away under 1.0 goals1Interesting74Away under 1.0 goals70%62%
63
▲+8pp
Draw—Draw30.8%34%
63
▼-3.2pp
Away win—Away win22.8%31%
63
▼-8.2pp
Home or away—Home or away69.2%66%
63
▲+3.2pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 38%model 46%▲+8pp
Xmarket 36%model 31%▼-5pp
2market 32%model 23%▼-9pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
56
Eligible
56
With a price
56
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.