GRABBLESTATS
No signal🇦🇷 Liga Profesional Argentina · — · 19:00
versus

Atletico Tucuman
Instituto Cordoba

Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro · Referee a-merlos
0 – 0
Full time
54%
Under 2.5 goals
AT47
Draw28
IN25
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 12,64Raw implied probability37,9%Sum of the 1X2 book106,6%Operator margin removed−6,6 ptsDe-margined consensus35%Our model47%Measured gap+12 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 56
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Home under 1.0 goals—33.7%53%−19.3
Home over 1.0 goals—66.2%47%+19.2
Over 2.0 goals—62.8%49%+13.8
Under 2.0 goals—37.2%51%−13.8
Home over 1.5 goals—44%31%+13
Home under 1.5 goals—56%69%−13
Home draw no bet—64.9%52%+12.9
Away draw no bet—35.1%48%−12.9
Home over 0.5 goals—77.6%65%+12.6
Home under 0.5 goals—22.4%35%−12.6
Away clean sheet—22.4%35%−12.6
Home win—47%35%+12

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

argentina-lpf · 21:00
ATLATL
INSINS
Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro
0 – 0
Full time

Final result

i
Confirmed✓54%Under 2.5 goals · announced before kick-off
47%
Win ATL
28%
Draw
what happened
25%
Win INS
47%at opening→47%at kick-off±0 pp

Final match statistics are not published for this fixture: only live fixtures carry them today. The analysis above stands on the probability that was announced, and on the result.

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
12.642.64•0%
X2.922.92•0%
22.902.90•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Home over 1.0 goals1High Signal95Home over 1.0 goals66.2%47%
62
▲+19.2pp
Over 2.0 goals2High Signal91.4Over 2.0 goals62.8%49%
62
▲+13.8pp
Home over 1.5 goals1.5High Signal89Home over 1.5 goals44%31%
62
▲+13pp
Home draw no betHigh Signal88.7Home draw no bet64.9%52%
62
▲+12.9pp
Home over 0.5 goals0.5High Signal87.8Home over 0.5 goals77.6%65%
62
▲+12.6pp
Home winHigh Signal86Home win47%35%
62
▲+12pp
Home over 2.0 goals2Interesting84.2Home over 2.0 goals25.4%14%
62
▲+11.4pp
Over 1.5 goals1.5Interesting81.8Over 1.5 goals72.6%62%
62
▲+10.6pp
Draw—Draw27.6%32%
62
▼-4.4pp
Away win—Away win25.4%32%
62
▼-6.6pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 38%model 47%▲+9pp
Xmarket 34%model 28%▼-6pp
2market 34%model 25%▼-9pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
56
Eligible
56
With a price
56
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.