GRABBLESTATS
Watch🌍 Serie A · — · 22:30
versus

Coritiba
Corinthians

— · Referee a-daronco
Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score
CO34
Draw25
CO41
From the displayed price to the probability
Odds · 13,10Raw implied probability32,3%Sum of the 1X2 book106,4%Operator margin removed−6,4 ptsDe-margined consensus30%Our model33.8%Measured gap+3.8 pp
Markets carrying a signal8 / 58
MarketModel leanModelMarketGap
Over 2.0 goals—66.2%49%+17.2
Under 2.0 goals—33.8%51%−17.2
Over 2.5 goals—50.2%36%+14.2
Under 2.5 goals—49.8%64%−14.2
Home over 1.0 goals—56%42%+14
Home under 1.0 goals—44%58%−14
Over 3.0 goals—36.2%23%+13.2
Under 3.0 goals—63.8%77%−13.2
Over 1.5 goals—74.4%62%+12.4
Under 1.5 goals—25.6%38%−12.4
Away over 1.0 goals—63.2%51%+12.2
Away under 1.0 goals—36.8%49%−12.2

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it, never because the matching statistic exists. A divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity — and a market we cannot price shows a dash rather than being hidden.

Brasileirão · 00:30
CORCOR
CORCOR
— · Pre-match analysis
54%
Both teams to score

Odds & Market

Live
MarketOpeningCurrentMovement
13.103.10•0%
X3.003.00•0%
22.452.45•0%
Market analysis

Model outputs by market

i
Market Explorer
MarketSignalModel leanModelMarketConfidenceDivergence
Over 2.0 goals2High Signal95Over 2.0 goals66.2%49%
56
▲+17.2pp
Over 2.5 goals2.5High Signal92.6Over 2.5 goals50.2%36%
56
▲+14.2pp
Home over 1.0 goals1High Signal92Home over 1.0 goals56%42%
56
▲+14pp
Over 3.0 goals3High Signal89.6Over 3.0 goals36.2%23%
56
▲+13.2pp
Over 1.5 goals1.5High Signal87.2Over 1.5 goals74.4%62%
56
▲+12.4pp
Away over 1.0 goals1High Signal86.6Away over 1.0 goals63.2%51%
56
▲+12.2pp
Over 1.0 goals1Interesting83Over 1.0 goals92%81%
56
▲+11pp
Home over 0.5 goals0.5Interesting79.1Home over 0.5 goals71.7%62%
56
▲+9.7pp
Home win—Home win33.8%30%
56
▲+3.8pp
Draw—Draw25.1%31%
56
▼-5.9pp

Divergence is a measured gap between the model and the market, not a guaranteed opportunity. When no price is published, the gap is unknown and is never estimated.

Model / market divergence

i
1market 32%model 34%▲+2pp
Xmarket 33%model 25%▼-8pp
2market 41%model 41%•0pp

Market coverage for this fixture

i
Markets classified
58
Eligible
58
With a price
58
Data quality
60%

A market is listed because a provider offers it and a calibrated model can price it — never because the corresponding statistic exists. Divergence is a measured gap, not a guaranteed opportunity.